Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 8.680647 10.043157 11.507673 13.193967 15.076925 17.109652 19.464764
2025-11-23 6.488352 8.242204 10.268308 12.763185 15.732634 19.133347 23.300674
2025-11-30 5.380237 7.343563 9.738799 12.837685 16.699009 21.308155 27.177987
2025-12-07 4.580706 6.655042 9.306921 12.883320 17.511071 23.223358 30.724540
2025-12-14 4.003391 6.152186 9.015908 13.020574 18.373170 25.170172 34.327220
2025-12-21 3.500559 5.673334 8.684092 13.037466 19.029988 26.835546 37.592811
2025-12-28 3.191240 5.423475 8.624993 13.390875 20.119300 29.074760 41.654787
2026-01-04 2.896545 5.154806 8.502695 13.625976 21.032583 31.090316 45.469301
2026-01-11 2.595522 4.837445 8.272202 13.672583 21.661305 32.720264 48.797495
2026-01-18 2.237051 4.382751 7.787815 13.296695 21.643832 33.431154 50.864034
2026-01-25 1.947648 4.006453 7.386703 13.006588 21.716868 34.247810 53.077871
2026-02-01 1.689157 3.650650 6.982882 12.674432 21.693386 34.904473 55.063204
2026-02-08 1.473005 3.346696 6.640422 12.418301 21.774618 35.721590 57.319572
2026-02-15 1.261252 3.022213 6.231192 12.018632 21.601515 36.142953 59.000230
2026-02-22 1.146080 2.871730 6.111815 12.089848 22.169107 37.684983 62.367370
2026-03-01 1.039751 2.724761 5.983975 12.133308 22.685829 39.157460 65.663425
2026-03-08 0.955666 2.613473 5.911111 12.264005 23.344953 40.863396 69.351603
2026-03-15 0.866685 2.478877 5.780751 12.280091 23.807072 42.268450 72.610753
2026-03-22 0.821063 2.437079 5.826861 12.616678 24.821589 44.572615 77.310546
2026-03-29 0.767472 2.369104 5.814030 12.840632 25.647488 46.594718 81.617434
2026-04-05 0.701578 2.261606 5.710493 12.885033 26.158267 48.117621 85.173330
2026-04-12 0.607672 2.068085 5.408483 12.526973 25.937624 48.432257 86.814870
2026-04-19 0.531165 1.906675 5.158555 12.250687 25.844235 48.944490 88.773746